Proposal preview

China’s Economic Performance and Real Data,1600-2010

The Period of 1600 to 2010 is an important one regarding some
fundamental changes in economic performance in China: China was the single largest economy in the world in circa 1600; now China is on its way to become the largest economy again after five centuries’ ups and downs.

However, to trace and measure China’s economic performance has been difficult and controversial especially given the fact that the Imperial bureaucracy did not produce consistent economic data (from 1600 to 1911), republican governments were busy fighting wars (1912-1949), and Mao’s government did not keep up with the international statistical standard or did not produce data at all (e.g. during 1966-1976). The majority works on this subject in scholarship have predominantly been based on estimates with great disparities.

Not only that estimates are commonly treated as ‘data’ to produce unreliable results.

In this session, we will scrutinize the available real data for the
economy, excluding modern estimates, to better understand China’s economic performance of the four main periods: (1) 1600-1911, (2) 1912-1949, (3) 1949-1979, and (4) 1979-2010.

Organizer(s)

  • Yuru Wang Institute of Economics, Nankai University, China yrwang54@126.com
  • Kent Deng Department of Economic History, London School of Economics, UK k.g.deng@lse.ac.uk

Session members

  • Man-houng Lin, Institute of Modern History Academia Sinica
  • Songdi Wu, Fudan University
  • Hongzhong Yan, School of Economics, the Finance and Economics University of Shanghai
  • Jinsong Zhao, Southwestern University of Finance and Economics
  • Yongqiang Guan, Nankai University
  • Yiming Zhu, Nankai University
  • Zhe Wang, Shanghai University of Financial and Economics
  • Chenghu Liu, Shanxi University
  • Ning Gong, Tsinghua University
  • Chen Xu, Minzu University of China
  • Jiawei Tan, Fudan University
  • Jian Sun, Fudan University

Discussant(s)

  • Kent Deng LSE

Papers

Panel abstract

The Period of 1600 to 2010 is an important one regarding some fundamental changes in economic performance in China: China was the single largest economy in the world in circa 1600; now China is on its way to become the largest economy again after five centuries' ups and downs. In this session, we will scrutinize the available real data for the economy, excluding modern estimates, to better understand China's economic performance of the four main periods: (1) 1600-1911, (2) 1912-1949, (3) 1949-1979, and (4) 1979-2010.

1st half

Problems with China’s GDP Per Capita in the Very Long Run

Kent Deang, London school of Economics; Patrick Karl O’Brien, University of London

A General Review of Modern Chinese Government Statistics and Survey1859-1949

Guan Yongqiang, Wang Yuru, Nankai University

Analysis on the Japanese Policy of Supply and Demand of Opium

Liu-Chenghu, Shanxi University

Opium Taxes in Late Qing China, 1858-1906

Man-houng Lin,Institute of Modern History Academia Sinica

2nd half

Survival of Unstable Property Rights in Modern China:A Case Study of Young Brother Bank

Zhao-Jinsong,Southwestern University of Finance and Economics; Pang Hao, Peking University

A Multi-Layer System and Its Features: Reconceptualizing the Monetary Regime of Late Imperial and Modern China

Yan-Hongzhong,The Finance and Economics University of Shanghai; Xu chen, Minzu University of China

Currency issues of the Operation during Liquor Collection in Eastern Chekiang in the Late Qing Dynasty from the Perspective of the Customs’field

Sun Jian, Fudan University

To Explain the Transit Trade System of Canton in Late Qing

Wu-Songdi, Tan-Jiawei,Fudan University